Sunrisers HyderabadversusMumbai Indians

27 Mar 2024 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 31 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs277/3 Mumbai Indians20.0 overs246/5 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 42%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Mumbai Indians is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Mumbai Indians: 0% to 58%).

Biggest swings

2.3: KT Maphaka to TM Head, six by TM Head. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 51% to 57%.
4.1: HH Pandya to MA Agarwal, MA Agarwal out. Mumbai Indians up from 34% to 44%.
5.1: G Coetzee to Abhishek Sharma, six by Abhishek Sharma. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 64% to 70%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad277/3 Mumbai Indians246/5

Innings 1