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Nordic Women T20 Cup · 2025 · Women
30 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Germany more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Germany started on 68%; Germany batted first.
Germany's chances ranged from 69% to 100% during the match (Norway: 0% to 32%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W Hornero-Garciabowled · R Immadi 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Immadi | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 110.00 |
| A Kanukuntlacaught · AS Gorad · VB Viyala 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AS Gorad · b VB Viyala | 16 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 69.57 |
| N Kingsleylbw · Mirab Razwan 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mirab Razwan | 30 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 142.86 |
| Aishani Kishorenot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 46* | 48 | 3 | 0 | 95.83 |
| Janet Ronaldsnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 31* | 24 | 3 | 0 | 129.17 |
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 16 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alina Aslam0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 2 | 1 |
| R Immadi0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 4 | 1 |
| Mirab Razwan0 maidens · 2 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 3 |
| VB Viyala0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 8 | 0 |
| Lopamudra0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Prachi Kumari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (W Hornero-Garcia, 4.0) · 2-39 (A Kanukuntla, 5.2) · 3-97 (N Kingsley, 12.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 54/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 63/2 |
| 10 | 12 | 75/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 87/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 96/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 100/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 113/3 |
| 15 | 12 | 125/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 132/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 139/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 147/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 153/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 161/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.