OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
South Africa Women tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Women
1 Apr 2026 · ODI
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Africa started on 56%; South Africa batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Laura Wolvaardtcaught · Izzy Gaze · Bree Illing8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Izzy Gaze · b Bree Illing | 69 | 74 | 8 | 1 | 93.24 |
| Tazmin Britscaught · Izzy Gaze · Bree Illing 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Gaze · b Bree Illing | 9 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 39.13 |
| Anne Boschcaught · Jess Kerr · Kayley Knight 12 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess Kerr · b Kayley Knight | 91 | 90 | 12 | 0 | 101.11 |
| Suné Luuscaught · Amelia Kerr · Jess Kerr 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amelia Kerr · b Jess Kerr | 40 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 93.02 |
| Sinalo Jaftacaught · Maddy Green · Kayley Knight 5 fours · 1 sixes |
South Africa's chances ranged from 22% to 97% during the match (New Zealand: 3% to 79%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 37 |
| 29 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 127.59 |
 Chloe Tryonnot out5 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 52* | 25 | 5 | 3 | 208.00 |
|---|
| Nadine de Klerkcaught · Izzy Gaze · Bree Illing 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Gaze · b Bree Illing | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 163.64 |
|---|
| K Reynekenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 18 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Kerr0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 71 | 1 | 7.10 | 2 | 0 |
| Bree Illing1 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 60 | 3 | 6.00 | 8 | 0 |
| Rosemary Mair0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 8.10 | 2 | 1 |
| Kayley Knight0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 65 | 2 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Amelia Kerr0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 6.70 | 4 | 0 |
1-35 (Tazmin Brits, 7.2) · 2-167 (Laura Wolvaardt, 28.0) · 3-211 (Anne Bosch, 36.4) · 4-245 (Suné Luus, 40.3) · 5-285 (Sinalo Jafta, 45.0) · 6-321 (Nadine de Klerk, 48.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 18/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 23/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 33/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 35/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 37/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 44/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 53/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 54/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 55/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 61/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 69/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 76/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 77/1 |
| 17 | 5 | 82/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 87/1 |
| 19 | 2 | 89/1 |
| 20 | 7 | 96/1 |
| 21 | 12 | 108/1 |
| 22 | 5 | 113/1 |
| 23 | 7 | 120/1 |
| 24 | 8 | 128/1 |
| 25 | 11 | 139/1 |
| 26 | 8 | 147/1 |
| 27 | 14 | 161/1 |
| 28 | 6 | 167/2 |
| 29 | 5 | 172/2 |
| 30 | 3 | 175/2 |
| 31 | 5 | 180/2 |
| 32 | 1 | 181/2 |
| 33 | 8 | 189/2 |
| 34 | 5 | 194/2 |
| 35 | 4 | 198/2 |
| 36 | 6 | 204/2 |
| 37 | 7 | 211/3 |
| 38 | 16 | 227/3 |
| 39 | 11 | 238/3 |
| 40 | 5 | 243/3 |
| 41 | 6 | 249/4 |
| 42 | 3 | 252/4 |
| 43 | 12 | 264/4 |
| 44 | 10 | 274/4 |
| 45 | 11 | 285/5 |
| 46 | 10 | 295/5 |
| 47 | 13 | 308/5 |
| 48 | 13 | 321/6 |
| 49 | 13 | 334/6 |
| 50 | 12 | 346/6 |
Ayabonga Khaka: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}