MalaysiaversusThailand

27 May 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Thailand won by 7 wickets

Malaysia20.0 overs82/7 Thailand12.3 overs85/3 Bayuemas Oval, Kuala Lumpur ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Thailand more likely to win

8%Malaysia92%Thailand

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Thailand rate stronger than Malaysia (1,639 vs 1,304 on our results rating)
In the last 7 T20 internationals between these sides, Thailand won 7 and Malaysia won 0
Malaysia are playing at home in Malaysia

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Malaysia started on 7%; Malaysia batted first.

Malaysia’s chance of winning (%) · Thailand is the rest

Malaysia's chances ranged from 0% to 8% during the match (Thailand: 93% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.6: P Maya to Ainna Hamizah Hashim, Ainna Hamizah Hashim out. Thailand up from 93% to 95%.
2.1: P Maya to WA Duraisingam, WA Duraisingam out. Thailand up from 94% to 95%.
19.6: T Putthawong to Nur Qalysha, 1 run to Nur Qalysha. Thailand up from 94% to 96%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Malaysia82/7 Thailand85/3

Innings 1

Malaysia

82/720.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Malaysia batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	SR
Ainna Hamizah Hashimbowled · Phannita Maya 0 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Phannita Maya	0	6	0	0.00
Winifred Duraisingamlbw · Phannita Maya 0 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b Phannita Maya	1	5	0	20.00
Elsa Hunterlbw · Phannita Maya 2 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b Phannita Maya	12	9	2	133.33
Mas Elysanot out 4 fours · 0 sixes	not out	45*	52	4	86.54
Mahirah Ismailcaught and bowled · Onnicha Kamchomphu 2 fours · 0 sixes	caught and bowled · b Onnicha Kamchomphu	18	34	2

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Phannita Maya1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	1	14	4	3.50	1
T Putthawong0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	24	0	6.00	0
S Chaturongrattana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	12	1	3.00	1
Suleeporn Laomi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	17	0	4.25	0
Onnicha Kamchomphu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	15	2	3.75	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	0	0/1
2	5	5/1
3	1	6/2
4	3	9/2
5	7	16/3
6	5	21/3
7	6	27/3
8	2	29/3
9	2	31/3
10	2	33/3
11	2	35/3
12	1	36/3
13	4	40/3
14	8	48/3
15	7	55/3
16	1	56/4
17	3	59/5
18	5	64/6
19	6	70/7
20	12	82/7

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