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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Thailand) · 2025 · Women
3 May 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 71%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 35% to 97% during the match (Hong Kong: 3% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozacaught · Natasha Miles · Chan Ka Man 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Natasha Miles · b Chan Ka Man | 30 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Theertha Satishlbw · Kary Chan 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kary Chan | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
| Rinitha Rajithlbw · Kary Chan 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kary Chan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Heena Hotchandanicaught · Mariko Hill · Chan Ka Man 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mariko Hill · b Chan Ka Man | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| MD Bothanot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 26* | 34 | 2 | 0 | 76.47 |
| Lavanya Keny |
| bowled · b M Wai Siu |
| 13 |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 72.22 |
| Udeni Donanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iqra Sahar0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 3 | 0 |
| M Wai Siu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Kary Chan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Chan Ka Man0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ruchitha Venkatesh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Emma Lai0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 5 | 0 |
1-26 (Theertha Satish, 5.2) · 2-26 (Rinitha Rajith, 5.3) · 3-36 (Heena Hotchandani, 8.4) · 4-54 (Esha Oza, 12.2) · 5-86 (Lavanya Keny, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 27/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 29/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 33/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 38/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 42/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 46/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 53/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 54/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 58/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 63/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 65/4 |
| 17 | 14 | 79/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 85/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 90/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 94/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.