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Uganda Women tour of Namibia · 2025 · Women
8 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Uganda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Uganda started on 58%; Uganda batted first.
Uganda's chances ranged from 22% to 90% during the match (Namibia: 10% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janet Mbabazicaught · Arrasta Diergaardt · S Tuhadeleni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arrasta Diergaardt · b S Tuhadeleni | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
| E Ilokucaught · Sune Wittmann · Wilka Mwatile 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sune Wittmann · b Wilka Mwatile | 47 | 54 | 5 | 0 | 87.04 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyicaught · Arrasta Diergaardt · Eveleen Kejarukua 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arrasta Diergaardt · b Eveleen Kejarukua | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Rita Musamalilbw · M Mwatile 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b M Mwatile | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Stephanie Nampiinacaught · S Tuhadeleni · Wilka Mwatile 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Tuhadeleni · b Wilka Mwatile | 33 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 97.06 |
| Malisa Ariokotnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| PE Kulumenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilka Mwatile0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| S Tuhadeleni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Eveleen Kejarukua0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| M Mwatile0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Arrasta Diergaardt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-11 (Janet Mbabazi, 3.4) · 2-20 (Immaculate Nakisuuyi, 6.2) · 3-29 (Rita Musamali, 9.1) · 4-85 (Stephanie Nampiina, 18.0) · 5-97 (E Iloku, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 22/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 23/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 28/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 31/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 33/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 37/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 41/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 50/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 58/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 65/3 |
| 17 | 10 | 75/3 |
| 18 | 10 | 85/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 94/4 |
| 20 | 4 | 98/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.