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Photo: Charles from Sandton, South Africa
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2024/25 · Men
8 Feb 2025 · T20
Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 45%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Sunrisers Eastern Cape: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HE van der Dussenstumped · Tristan Stubbs · Liam Dawson 0 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Tristan Stubbs · b Liam Dawson | 23 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 92.00 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Liam Dawson · Craig Overton1 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Liam Dawson · b Craig Overton | 33 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 220.00 |
 Reeza Hendrickscaught · Andile Simelane · Richard Gleeson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andile Simelane · b Richard Gleeson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Connor Esterhuizencaught · Marco Jansen · Aiden Markram 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Marco Jansen · b Aiden Markram | 39 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 150.00 |
| George Lindecaught · Craig Overton · Liam Dawson 0 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Liam Dawson | 20 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Dewald Breviscaught · Aiden Markram · Marco Jansen 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Aiden Markram · b Marco Jansen | 38 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 211.11 |
|---|
| Delano Potgieternot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 12 | 2 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
 Rashid Khancaught · Tom Abell · Richard Gleeson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Abell · b Richard Gleeson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Corbin Boschcaught · Tristan Stubbs · Marco Jansen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tristan Stubbs · b Marco Jansen | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadanot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Craig Overton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Marco Jansen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Richard Gleeson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Dawson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Aiden Markram0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 6 | 0 |
| Andile Simelane0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-51 (Ryan Rickelton, 5.0) · 2-52 (Reeza Hendricks, 5.5) · 3-67 (HE van der Dussen, 8.1) · 4-93 (George Linde, 11.0) · 5-143 (Dewald Brevis, 15.5) · 6-161 (Connor Esterhuizen, 16.5) · 7-167 (Rashid Khan, 17.5) · 8-168 (Corbin Bosch, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 41/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 51/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 52/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 56/2 |
| 8 | 11 | 67/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 70/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 76/3 |
| 11 | 17 | 93/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 97/4 |
| 13 | 16 | 113/4 |
| 14 | 14 | 127/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 138/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 144/5 |
| 17 | 18 | 162/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 167/7 |
| 19 | 2 | 169/8 |
| 20 | 12 | 181/8 |
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rashid Khan: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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