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Myanmar tour of Indonesia · 2024/25 · Men
15 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 25%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 0% to 31% during the match (Indonesia: 69% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khin Ayebowled · RM Koda 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b RM Koda | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Paing Danucaught · Danilson Hawoe · AA Rahayu 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Danilson Hawoe · b AA Rahayu | 31 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 134.78 |
| Htet Lin Oocaught · Dharma Kesuma · AA Rahayu 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dharma Kesuma · b AA Rahayu | 21 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 123.53 |
| Pyae Phyo Waicaught · Dharma Kesuma · Ketut Artawan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dharma Kesuma · b Ketut Artawan | 17 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 65.38 |
| Ko Ko Lin Thucaught · Danilson Hawoe · Kadek Gamantika 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danilson Hawoe · b Kadek Gamantika | 27 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 87.10 |
| run out · J Dzulfikar, Kadek Gamantika |
| 10 |
| 17 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 58.82 |
| Htet Lin Aungstumped · Ahmad Ramdoni · Kadek Gamantika 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ahmad Ramdoni · b Kadek Gamantika | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Swann Htet Ko Konot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RM Koda1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| AA Rahayu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kadek Gamantika1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ketut Artawan0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Andreas Hawoe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Khin Aye, 0.3) · 2-37 (Htet Lin Oo, 5.3) · 3-58 (Paing Danu, 9.1) · 4-90 (Pyae Phyo Wai, 14.4) · 5-111 (Ko Ko Lin Thu, 19.3) · 6-111 (Thuya Aung, 19.4) · 7-113 (Htet Lin Aung, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 18 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 38/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 47/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 58/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 63/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 67/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 73/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 81/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 86/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 91/4 |
| 16 | 0 | 91/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 97/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 103/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 109/4 |
| 20 | 4 | 113/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.