Papua New GuineaversusOman

Oman more likely to win

Why

• Oman are playing at home in Oman
• In the last 1 T20 internationals between these sides, Oman won 1 and Papua New Guinea won 0
• On results in T20 internationals so far, Oman rate stronger than Papua New Guinea (1,596 vs 1,575 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

Papua New Guinea started on 33%; Papua New Guinea batted first.

Papua New Guinea's chances ranged from 1% to 37% during the match (Oman: 63% to 99%).

Biggest swings

1. 2.1: Bilal Khan to S Bau, S Bau out. Oman up from 68% to 76%.
2. 2.5: Bilal Khan to TP Ura, TP Ura out. Oman up from 74% to 82%.
3. 2nd inns 18.5: KV Morea to Rafiullah, six by Rafiullah. Oman up from 90% to 99%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.