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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier B · 2026/27 · Men
14 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 87%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 86% to 100% during the match (Maldives: 0% to 14%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Waheedbowled · Harsha Amarasinghe 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Harsha Amarasinghe | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Muhammad Atifnot out 5 fours · 7 sixes | not out | 100* | 58 | 5 | 7 | 172.41 |
| Waji Ul Hassancaught · Azyan Farhath · Nazwan Ismail 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Azyan Farhath · b Nazwan Ismail | 34 | 29 | 0 | 2 | 117.24 |
| Manan Alicaught · Umar Adam · Azyan Farhath 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Umar Adam · b Azyan Farhath | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Usman Khalidcaught · Umar Adam · Sheraz Iqbal 1 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Umar Adam · b Sheraz Iqbal | 39 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 260.00 |
| bowled · b Sheraz Iqbal |
| 6 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 300.00 |
| Zain Ul Abidinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harsha Amarasinghe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Umar Adam0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Azyan Farhath0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ibrahim Rizan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nazwan Ismail0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheraz Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Abdul Waheed, 2.3) · 2-110 (Waji Ul Hassan, 12.4) · 3-131 (Manan Ali, 15.2) · 4-186 (Usman Khalid, 19.3) · 5-192 (Abdul Wahid, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 38/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 42/1 |
| 8 | 16 | 58/1 |
| 9 | 15 | 73/1 |
| 10 | 13 | 86/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 91/1 |
| 12 | 16 | 107/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 115/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 124/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 130/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 137/3 |
| 17 | 17 | 154/3 |
| 18 | 11 | 165/3 |
| 19 | 21 | 186/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 194/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.