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Jersey tour of Denmark · 2024 · Men
16 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Jersey more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Denmark started on 34%; Denmark batted first.
Denmark's chances ranged from 0% to 35% during the match (Jersey: 65% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolaj Damgaardcaught · Charles Perchard · Daniel Birrell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Charles Perchard · b Daniel Birrell | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Hamid Shahcaught and bowled · Julius Sumerauer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Julius Sumerauer | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Taranjit Bharajcaught · Asa Tribe · Daniel Birrell 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asa Tribe · b Daniel Birrell | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Shangeev Thanikaithasancaught · Jonty Jenner · Daniel Birrell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jonty Jenner · b Daniel Birrell | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Abdul Hashmibowled · Dominic Blampied 1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Dominic Blampied | 29 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 93.55 |
| Surya Anandrun out · Nick Greenwood, Jonty Jenner · Nick Greenwood 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Nick Greenwood, Jonty Jenner | 35 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 109.38 |
|---|
| Delawar Khancaught · Jonty Jenner · Benjamin Ward 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jonty Jenner · b Benjamin Ward | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Jonas Henriksennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 22* | 19 | 0 | 0 | 115.79 |
|---|
| Abdullah Mahmoodcaught · Julius Sumerauer · Charles Perchard 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Julius Sumerauer · b Charles Perchard | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Eshan Karimirun out · Nick Greenwood, Charles Perchard · Nick Greenwood 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nick Greenwood, Charles Perchard | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Toqeer Ahmadrun out · Nick Greenwood · Nick Greenwood 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nick Greenwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Birrell1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Julius Sumerauer0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 3 | 1 |
| Benjamin Ward0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Charles Perchard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Dominic Blampied0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Greenwood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Nicolaj Damgaard, 1.0) · 2-12 (Taranjit Bharaj, 3.0) · 3-16 (Hamid Shah, 3.5) · 4-16 (Shangeev Thanikaithasan, 4.2) · 5-63 (Abdul Hashmi, 11.4) · 6-82 (Delawar Khan, 14.1) · 7-105 (Surya Anand, 18.0) · 8-109 (Abdullah Mahmood, 18.4) · 9-118 (Eshan Karimi, 19.5) · 10-119 (Toqeer Ahmad, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 12/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 16/3 |
| 5 | 3 | 19/4 |
| 6 | 4 | 23/4 |
| 7 | 10 | 33/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 36/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 43/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 49/4 |
| 11 | 12 | 61/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 65/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 72/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 82/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 86/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 90/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 98/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 105/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 111/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 119/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.