Lucknow Super GiantsversusGujarat Titans

12 Apr 2026 · T20

Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Gujarat Titans won by 7 wickets

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs164/8 Gujarat Titans18.4 overs165/3 Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 50%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Titans is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (Gujarat Titans: 38% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.3: K Rabada to MR Marsh, MR Marsh out. Gujarat Titans up from 41% to 54%.
4.1: Mohammed Siraj to RR Pant, RR Pant out. Gujarat Titans up from 38% to 50%.
8.2: M Prasidh Krishna to A Badoni, A Badoni out. Gujarat Titans up from 52% to 64%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants164/8 Gujarat Titans165/3

Innings 1