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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
8 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Qatar started on 16%; Qatar batted first.
Qatar's chances ranged from 0% to 25% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 75% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imal Liyanagecaught · Waseem Muhammad · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Junaid Siddique | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Zubair Alirun out · Muhammad Rohid · Muhammad Rohid 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Muhammad Rohid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Shariq Munircaught · Basil Hameed · Zahid Ali 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Basil Hameed · b Zahid Ali | 19 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 105.56 |
| Muhammad Asimcaught · D Parashar · Muhammad Rohid 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Parashar · b Muhammad Rohid | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Muhammad Tanveerlbw · D Parashar 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b D Parashar | 19 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90.48 |
| caught · Basil Hameed · b SS Kang |
| 30 |
| 29 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 103.45 |
| Shahzaib Jamilcaught · Basil Hameed · Zahid Ali 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Basil Hameed · b Zahid Ali | 20 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 117.65 |
|---|
| Ikramullah Khancaught · D Parashar · Muhammad Rohid 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Parashar · b Muhammad Rohid | 17 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 80.95 |
|---|
| Daniel Louisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Rohid1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Zahid Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
| SS Kang0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Basil Hameed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Imal Liyanage, 0.3) · 2-5 (Zubair Ali, 1.2) · 3-5 (Muhammad Asim, 1.3) · 4-22 (Shariq Munir, 4.4) · 5-57 (Muhammad Tanveer, 10.2) · 6-84 (Mirza Mohammed Baig, 13.4) · 7-104 (Shahzaib Jamil, 16.4) · 8-118 (Ikramullah Khan, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 5/3 |
| 3 | 4 | 9/3 |
| 4 | 8 | 17/3 |
| 5 | 6 | 23/4 |
| 6 | 2 | 25/4 |
| 7 | 7 | 32/4 |
| 8 | 9 | 41/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 45/4 |
| 10 | 10 | 55/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 60/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 64/5 |
| 13 | 15 | 79/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 84/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 89/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 93/6 |
| 17 | 14 | 107/7 |
| 18 | 3 | 110/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 116/7 |
| 20 | 2 | 118/8 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.