Abu Dhabi Knight RidersversusGulf Giants

1 Feb 2025 · T20

Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Gulf Giants won by 7 wickets

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders20.0 overs123/7 Gulf Giants17.5 overs124/3 Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders started on 47%; Abu Dhabi Knight Riders batted first.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Gulf Giants is the rest

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 48% during the match (Gulf Giants: 52% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.4: DJ Worrall to KR Mayers, KR Mayers out. Gulf Giants up from 59% to 69%.
2.3: MR Adair to AGS Gous, AGS Gous out. Gulf Giants up from 70% to 79%.
2nd inns 4.5: DJ Willey to JM Cox, JM Cox out. Abu Dhabi Knight Riders up from 16% to 24%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders123/7 Gulf Giants124/3

Innings 1