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Continental Cup · 2025 · Men
26 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Belgium more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Belgium started on 83%; Belgium batted first.
Belgium's chances ranged from 83% to 100% during the match (Malta: 0% to 17%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Muneebcaught · Jaswinder Singh · Mohammed Qasim 8 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jaswinder Singh · b Mohammed Qasim | 71 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 151.06 |
| A Razabowled · Imran Ameer 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Imran Ameer | 24 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 141.18 |
| B Niazcaught · P Pushparajan · Mohammed Qasim 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Pushparajan · b Mohammed Qasim | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 115.38 |
| Sheraz Sheikhbowled · Imran Ameer 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Imran Ameer | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Shaheryar Buttcaught and bowled · P Pushparajan 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b P Pushparajan | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 112.50 |
| caught · Mehboob Ali · b Washeem Abbas |
| 19 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 237.50 |
| F Khaliqnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Khalid Ahmadinot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 22* | 8 | 1 | 2 | 275.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mehboob Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| D Marks0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 52 | 0 | 17.33 | 7 | 0 |
| Mohammed Qasim0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Washeem Abbas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Ameer0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaswinder Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 1 | 0 |
| P Pushparajan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-74 (A Raza, 6.4) · 2-117 (B Niaz, 11.4) · 3-123 (Sheraz Sheikh, 12.3) · 4-140 (Muhammad Muneeb, 15.4) · 5-148 (Shaheryar Butt, 16.5) · 6-166 (Saber Zakhil, 17.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 18 | 30/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 40/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 50/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 61/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 68/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 75/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 83/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 89/1 |
| 10 | 16 | 105/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 114/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 119/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 125/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 135/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 137/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 141/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 149/5 |
| 18 | 18 | 167/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 175/6 |
| 20 | 24 | 199/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.