Sunrisers HyderabadversusRoyal Challengers Bengaluru

23 May 2025 · T20

Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 42 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs231/6 Royal Challengers Bengaluru19.5 overs189/10 Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 38%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Royal Challengers Bengaluru is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Royal Challengers Bengaluru: 0% to 62%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 6.6: Harsh Dubey to V Kohli, V Kohli out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 59% to 72%.
2nd inns 10.4: Nithish Kumar Reddy to MA Agarwal, MA Agarwal out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 55% to 69%.
2nd inns 15.4: E Malinga to RM Patidar, RM Patidar out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 61% to 73%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad231/6 Royal Challengers Bengaluru189/10

Innings 1