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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
14 Sept 2024 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 62%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 0% to 74% during the match (Gloucestershire: 26% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tom Price · b Matt Taylor | 21 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 140.00 |
| Will Smeedcaught · Tom Smith · Matt Taylor 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Smith · b Matt Taylor | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Bancroft · b Tom Price | 19 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 79.17 |
| James Rewcaught · Cameron Bancroft · Matt Taylor 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Bancroft · b Matt Taylor | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| bowled · b Ollie Price |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ollie Price · b David Payne | 53 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 143.24 |
|---|
| Ben Greencaught · Tom Smith · David Payne 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Smith · b David Payne | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Taylor · b David Payne | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Bracey · b Josh Shaw | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Price · b Josh Shaw | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Payne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.4 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.45 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tom Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Will Smeed, 3.1) · 2-33 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 4.0) · 3-41 (James Rew, 6.0) · 4-42 (Sean Dickson, 6.2) · 5-86 (Tom Abell, 12.4) · 6-105 (Ben Green, 15.1) · 7-105 (Craig Overton, 15.2) · 8-114 (Roelof van der Merwe, 17.0) · 9-123 (Lewis Gregory, 18.5) · 10-124 (Jake Ball, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 39/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 41/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 48/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 51/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 56/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 63/4 |
| 11 | 14 | 77/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 83/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 86/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 96/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 105/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 109/7 |
| 17 | 5 | 114/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 119/8 |
| 19 | 4 | 123/9 |
| 20 | 1 | 124/10 |
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.