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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
India tour of Australia · 2024/25 · Men
3 Jan 2025 · Test
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beau Webster · b Scott Boland | 10 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 38.46 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Konstas · b Mitchell Starc | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Nathan Lyon | 20 | 64 | 2 | 0 | 31.25 |
| caught · Beau Webster · b Scott Boland |
| 17 |
| 69 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 24.64 |
3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Pat Cummins · b Scott Boland | 40 | 98 | 3 | 1 | 40.82 |
|---|
3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Starc | 26 | 95 | 3 | 0 | 27.37 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Scott Boland | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Pat Cummins | 14 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 46.67 |
|---|
| Prasidh Krishnacaught · Sam Konstas · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Konstas · b Mitchell Starc | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitchell Starc · b Pat Cummins | 22 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 129.41 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 16 | 0 | 0 | 18.75 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 13 · wides: 0 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.0 | 5 | 49 | 3 | 2.72 | 0 | 2 | |
| 15.2 | 4 | 37 | 2 | 2.41 | 0 | 1 | |
| 20.0 | 8 | 31 | 4 | 1.55 | 0 | 1 | |
| 13.0 | 4 | 29 | 0 | 2.23 | 0 | 2 | |
| 6.0 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 3.17 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (KL Rahul, 5.0) · 2-17 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 7.4) · 3-57 (Shubman Gill, 25.0) · 4-72 (Virat Kohli, 31.3) · 5-120 (Rishabh Pant, 56.4) · 6-120 (Nitish Kumar Reddy, 56.5) · 7-134 (Ravindra Jadeja, 62.4) · 8-148 (Washington Sundar, 66.0) · 9-168 (Prasidh Krishna, 68.2) · 10-185 (Jasprit Bumrah, 72.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 14/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 17/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 22/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 23/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 28/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 32/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 33/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 33/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 38/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 17 | 0 | 42/2 |
| 18 | 1 | 43/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 50/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 51/2 |
| 21 | 5 | 56/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 56/2 |
| 23 | 0 | 56/2 |
| 24 | 0 | 56/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 57/3 |
| 26 | 0 | 57/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 59/3 |
| 28 | 1 | 60/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 64/3 |
| 30 | 3 | 67/3 |
| 31 | 4 | 71/3 |
| 32 | 5 | 76/4 |
| 33 | 0 | 76/4 |
| 34 | 0 | 76/4 |
| 35 | 0 | 76/4 |
| 36 | 0 | 76/4 |
| 37 | 4 | 80/4 |
| 38 | 1 | 81/4 |
| 39 | 0 | 81/4 |
| 40 | 0 | 81/4 |
| 41 | 0 | 81/4 |
| 42 | 1 | 82/4 |
| 43 | 5 | 87/4 |
| 44 | 0 | 87/4 |
| 45 | 1 | 88/4 |
| 46 | 7 | 95/4 |
| 47 | 0 | 95/4 |
| 48 | 5 | 100/4 |
| 49 | 0 | 100/4 |
| 50 | 7 | 107/4 |
| 51 | 1 | 108/4 |
| 52 | 6 | 114/4 |
| 53 | 1 | 115/4 |
| 54 | 0 | 115/4 |
| 55 | 2 | 117/4 |
| 56 | 2 | 119/4 |
| 57 | 1 | 120/6 |
| 58 | 1 | 121/6 |
| 59 | 0 | 121/6 |
| 60 | 2 | 123/6 |
| 61 | 2 | 125/6 |
| 62 | 5 | 130/6 |
| 63 | 4 | 134/7 |
| 64 | 9 | 143/7 |
| 65 | 1 | 144/7 |
| 66 | 4 | 148/8 |
| 67 | 5 | 153/8 |
| 68 | 13 | 166/8 |
| 69 | 4 | 170/9 |
| 70 | 2 | 172/9 |
| 71 | 3 | 175/9 |
| 72 | 4 | 179/9 |
| 73 | 6 | 185/10 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Scott Boland: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.