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Malaysia Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024 · Men
21 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 63%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 1% to 93% during the match (Kuwait: 8% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Coetzeebowled · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Yasin Patel | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Anshuman Rathcaught · Muhammad Umar · Mohomad Aslam 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Umar · b Mohomad Aslam | 16 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 76.19 |
| Nizakat Khancaught · Yasin Patel · Adnan Idrees 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Yasin Patel · b Adnan Idrees | 57 | 35 | 3 | 3 | 162.86 |
| Babar Hayatbowled · Adnan Idrees 4 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Adnan Idrees | 41 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 186.36 |
| Aizaz Khanrun out · Nawaf Ahmed · Yasin Patel 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nawaf Ahmed | 16 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 145.45 |
| lbw · b Adnan Idrees |
| 16 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 160.00 |
| Zeeshan Alirun out · Bilal Tahir · Yasin Patel 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Bilal Tahir | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Nasrulla Rananot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Ehsan Khanrun out · Clinto Anto, Meet Bhavsar · Mohamed Shafeeq 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Clinto Anto, Meet Bhavsar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ateeq Iqbalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Nimish Lathief0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Nawaf Ahmed0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Adnan Idrees0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Martin Coetzee, 1.2) · 2-60 (Anshuman Rath, 8.0) · 3-104 (Nizakat Khan, 12.4) · 4-118 (Babar Hayat, 14.1) · 5-140 (Yasim Murtaza, 16.2) · 6-157 (Zeeshan Ali, 18.4) · 7-157 (Aizaz Khan, 18.5) · 8-166 (Ehsan Khan, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 26/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 41/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 51/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 60/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 67/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 73/2 |
| 11 | 18 | 91/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 102/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 106/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 118/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 126/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 138/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 146/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 154/5 |
| 19 | 3 | 157/7 |
| 20 | 11 | 168/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.