OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Ullaelinakarna
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C · 2026 · Men
14 Aug 2026 · T20
Kerava National Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Spain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Finland started on 41%; Finland batted first.
Finland's chances ranged from 0% to 57% during the match (Spain: 43% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Pusthaystumped · A Davidson Soler · C Rumistrzewicz 1 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · A Davidson Soler · b C Rumistrzewicz | 19 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 105.56 |
| AK Mohannot out 3 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 57* | 46 | 3 | 3 | 123.91 |
| Faraaz Mehti Abbaslbw · LA Burns 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b LA Burns | 13 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 76.47 |
| Zahidullah Kamalcaught · Christian Munoz-Mills · C Rumistrzewicz 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Christian Munoz-Mills · b C Rumistrzewicz | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| NM Salonencaught · GS Bajwa · C Rumistrzewicz 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · GS Bajwa · b C Rumistrzewicz | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| bowled · b LA Burns |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| Amjad Sherrun out · A Davidson Soler, Atif Mehmood · LA Burns 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · A Davidson Soler, Atif Mehmood | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Hammadullah Shinwarirun out · Yasir Ali, LA Burns · LA Burns 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Yasir Ali, LA Burns | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| MB Tambecaught · C Rumistrzewicz · Yasir Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · C Rumistrzewicz · b Yasir Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| PEA Karunarathnacaught and bowled · Atif Mehmood 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Atif Mehmood | 16 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 88.89 |
|---|
| Junaid Khan (2)not out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yasir Ali0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Atif Mehmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Kamran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| C Rumistrzewicz0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| LA Burns0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-41 (A Pusthay, 6.2) · 2-62 (Faraaz Mehti Abbas, 9.4) · 3-65 (Zahidullah Kamal, 10.3) · 4-65 (NM Salonen, 10.5) · 5-68 (Faheem Nellancheri, 11.3) · 6-83 (Amjad Sher, 13.3) · 7-85 (Hammadullah Shinwari, 14.0) · 8-85 (MB Tambe, 14.1) · 9-125 (PEA Karunarathna, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 38/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 40/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 44/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 53/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 60/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 64/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 66/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 72/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 77/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 85/7 |
| 15 | 2 | 87/8 |
| 16 | 4 | 91/8 |
| 17 | 5 | 96/8 |
| 18 | 15 | 111/8 |
| 19 | 13 | 124/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 131/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.