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Malaysia Open T20 Championship · 2023/24 · Men
11 Mar 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 54%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 0% to 60% during the match (Bahrain: 40% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Azizcaught · Umer Imtiaz · Rizwan Butt 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Umer Imtiaz · b Rizwan Butt | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Virandeep Singhcaught · Abdul Majeed · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdul Majeed · b Rizwan Butt | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Sharvin Muniandyrun out · Haider Butt · Sarfaraz Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Haider Butt | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
| Ahmed Faizcaught · Sohail Ahmed · S Veerapathiran 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sohail Ahmed · b S Veerapathiran | 14 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 73.68 |
| Muhamad Syahadatbowled · Sarfaraz Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sarfaraz Ali | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| bowled · b Sarfaraz Ali |
| 7 |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 63.64 |
| Vijay Unnicaught · Haider Butt · Abdul Majeed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Haider Butt · b Abdul Majeed | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Khizar Hayatnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 18* | 23 | 0 | 1 | 78.26 |
|---|
| Ainool Hafizsbowled · Ali Dawood 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Dawood | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Fitri Shamlbw · Rizwan Butt 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Rizwan Butt | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Pavandeep Singhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Rizwan Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| S Veerapathiran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarfaraz Ali0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 3.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Syed Aziz, 1.5) · 2-12 (Virandeep Singh, 3.2) · 3-22 (Sharvin Muniandy, 5.3) · 4-35 (Ahmed Faiz, 8.3) · 5-37 (Muhamad Syahadat, 9.4) · 6-46 (Zubaidi Zulkifle, 11.5) · 7-48 (Vijay Unni, 12.4) · 8-61 (Ainool Hafizs, 15.5) · 9-62 (Fitri Sham, 16.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 23/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 28/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 34/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 36/4 |
| 10 | 1 | 37/5 |
| 11 | 6 | 43/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 46/6 |
| 13 | 2 | 48/7 |
| 14 | 6 | 54/7 |
| 15 | 5 | 59/7 |
| 16 | 2 | 61/8 |
| 17 | 1 | 62/9 |
| 18 | 3 | 65/9 |
| 19 | 9 | 74/9 |
| 20 | 3 | 77/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.