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ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy · 2025/26 · Women
26 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Tanzania started on 42%; Tanzania batted first.
Tanzania's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatuma Kibasucaught · S Kotte · MD Botha 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Kotte · b MD Botha | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| S Mtaecaught · Udeni Dona · S Kotte 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Udeni Dona · b S Kotte | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
| NJ Piusbowled · Vaishnave Mahesh 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vaishnave Mahesh | 10 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 55.56 |
| HM Omarybowled · S Kotte 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Kotte | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| NN Saidirun out · Theertha Satish, ATS Silva · S Kotte 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Theertha Satish, ATS Silva | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
| JG Kimaro |
| bowled · b Vaishnave Mahesh |
| 0 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| PZ Kamunyabowled · Vaishnave Mahesh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vaishnave Mahesh | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| SD Husseinrun out · Heena Hotchandani, Udeni Dona · Heena Hotchandani 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Heena Hotchandani, Udeni Dona | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
| SF Jeromelbw · Heena Hotchandani 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Heena Hotchandani | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| MH Ushanganot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| S Kizitorun out · Theertha Satish · S Dharnidharka 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Theertha Satish | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATS Silva0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| MD Botha0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2.33 | 1 | 0 |
| S Kotte0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Vaishnave Mahesh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Esha Oza1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Heena Hotchandani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| S Dharnidharka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Fatuma Kibasu, 2.0) · 2-12 (S Mtae, 2.2) · 3-12 (HM Omary, 3.0) · 4-21 (NN Saidi, 6.5) · 5-22 (JG Kimaro, 7.4) · 6-29 (NJ Pius, 10.0) · 7-36 (PZ Kamunya, 11.5) · 8-43 (SD Hussein, 15.3) · 9-43 (SF Jerome, 15.4) · 10-46 (S Kizito, 16.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 12/3 |
| 4 | 4 | 16/3 |
| 5 | 3 | 19/3 |
| 6 | 1 | 20/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 21/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 23/5 |
| 9 | 5 | 28/5 |
| 10 | 1 | 29/6 |
| 11 | 4 | 33/6 |
| 12 | 3 | 36/7 |
| 13 | 0 | 36/7 |
| 14 | 1 | 37/7 |
| 15 | 3 | 40/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 43/9 |
| 17 | 3 | 46/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.