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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
6 Jun 2024 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Worcestershire started on 45%; Worcestershire batted first.
Worcestershire's chances ranged from 7% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ed Pollockbowled · Oli Stone2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Oli Stone | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 177.78 |
 Matthew Waitecaught · Dillon Pennington · Oli Stone2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dillon Pennington · b Oli Stone | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 157.14 |
 Josh Cobbcaught · Calvin Harrison · Dillon Pennington2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b Dillon Pennington | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 110.00 |
 Adam Hosebowled · Benjamin Lister3 fours · 1 sixes |
| bowled · b Benjamin Lister |
| 36 |
| 37 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 97.30 |
| Ethan Brookesrun out · Jack Haynes · Calvin Harrison 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jack Haynes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Rob Jonescaught · Lyndon James · Benjamin Lister 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lyndon James · b Benjamin Lister | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Tom Taylorbowled · Calvin Harrison 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Calvin Harrison | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithnot out 5 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 51* | 35 | 5 | 2 | 145.71 |
|---|
| Hayden Walsh, Jr.caught · Alex Hales · Lyndon James 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Hales · b Lyndon James | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Gareth Rodericknot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Lister0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dillon Pennington0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Lyndon James0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-25 (Matthew Waite, 2.2) · 2-28 (Ed Pollock, 2.5) · 3-42 (Josh Cobb, 5.2) · 4-52 (Ethan Brookes, 6.2) · 5-55 (Rob Jones, 7.4) · 6-58 (Tom Taylor, 8.3) · 7-140 (Adam Hose, 18.0) · 8-148 (Hayden Walsh, Jr., 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 28/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 29/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 50/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 54/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 56/5 |
| 9 | 2 | 58/6 |
| 10 | 11 | 69/6 |
| 11 | 4 | 73/6 |
| 12 | 10 | 83/6 |
| 13 | 4 | 87/6 |
| 14 | 11 | 98/6 |
| 15 | 9 | 107/6 |
| 16 | 12 | 119/6 |
| 17 | 18 | 137/6 |
| 18 | 3 | 140/7 |
| 19 | 4 | 144/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 154/8 |
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Waite: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Cobb: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ed Pollock: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Hales: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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