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Bangladesh tour of Pakistan · 2024 · Men
21 Aug 2024 · Test
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zakir Hasan · b Hasan Mahmud | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Saim Ayubcaught · Mehedi Hasan · Hasan Mahmud 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mehedi Hasan · b Hasan Mahmud | 56 | 98 | 4 | 1 | 57.14 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Shariful Islam | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54.55 |
| caught · Litton Das · b Shariful Islam |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
9 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Litton Das · b Mehedi Hasan | 141 | 261 | 9 | 0 | 54.02 |
|---|
11 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 171* | 239 | 11 | 3 | 71.55 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Mehedi Hasan · Shakib Al Hasan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mehedi Hasan · b Shakib Al Hasan | 19 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 52.78 |
|---|
1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 29* | 24 | 1 | 2 | 120.83 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 12 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 1 · noballs: 7 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.0 | 4 | 77 | 2 | 3.35 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23.0 | 4 | 70 | 2 | 3.04 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19.0 | 0 | 105 | 0 | 5.53 | 0 | 3 | |
| 21.0 | 1 | 80 | 1 | 3.81 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27.0 | 3 | 100 | 1 | 3.70 | 1 | 4 |
1-3 (Abdullah Shafique, 3.3) · 2-14 (Shan Masood, 6.5) · 3-16 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 8.2) · 4-114 (Saim Ayub, 31.1) · 5-354 (Saud Shakeel, 95.0) · 6-398 (Salman Ali Agha, 106.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 3/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 3/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 3/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 10/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 14/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 15/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 23/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 29/3 |
| 11 | 0 | 29/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 35/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 40/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 51/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 53/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 57/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 62/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 68/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 72/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 75/3 |
| 21 | 6 | 81/3 |
| 22 | 1 | 82/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 88/3 |
| 24 | 5 | 93/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 97/3 |
| 26 | 1 | 98/3 |
| 27 | 9 | 107/3 |
| 28 | 3 | 110/3 |
| 29 | 3 | 113/3 |
| 30 | 0 | 113/3 |
| 31 | 1 | 114/3 |
| 32 | 5 | 119/4 |
| 33 | 0 | 119/4 |
| 34 | 4 | 123/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 127/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 129/4 |
| 37 | 7 | 136/4 |
| 38 | 3 | 139/4 |
| 39 | 10 | 149/4 |
| 40 | 7 | 156/4 |
| 41 | 2 | 158/4 |
| 42 | 1 | 159/4 |
| 43 | 3 | 162/4 |
| 44 | 5 | 167/4 |
| 45 | 4 | 171/4 |
| 46 | 0 | 171/4 |
| 47 | 4 | 175/4 |
| 48 | 8 | 183/4 |
| 49 | 6 | 189/4 |
| 50 | 0 | 189/4 |
| 51 | 2 | 191/4 |
| 52 | 4 | 195/4 |
| 53 | 10 | 205/4 |
| 54 | 1 | 206/4 |
| 55 | 10 | 216/4 |
| 56 | 2 | 218/4 |
| 57 | 1 | 219/4 |
| 58 | 1 | 220/4 |
| 59 | 5 | 225/4 |
| 60 | 3 | 228/4 |
| 61 | 8 | 236/4 |
| 62 | 5 | 241/4 |
| 63 | 2 | 243/4 |
| 64 | 2 | 245/4 |
| 65 | 3 | 248/4 |
| 66 | 2 | 250/4 |
| 67 | 3 | 253/4 |
| 68 | 2 | 255/4 |
| 69 | 0 | 255/4 |
| 70 | 1 | 256/4 |
| 71 | 4 | 260/4 |
| 72 | 6 | 266/4 |
| 73 | 1 | 267/4 |
| 74 | 7 | 274/4 |
| 75 | 3 | 277/4 |
| 76 | 1 | 278/4 |
| 77 | 3 | 281/4 |
| 78 | 5 | 286/4 |
| 79 | 4 | 290/4 |
| 80 | 5 | 295/4 |
| 81 | 2 | 297/4 |
| 82 | 7 | 304/4 |
| 83 | 6 | 310/4 |
| 84 | 5 | 315/4 |
| 85 | 2 | 317/4 |
| 86 | 2 | 319/4 |
| 87 | 6 | 325/4 |
| 88 | 11 | 336/4 |
| 89 | 2 | 338/4 |
| 90 | 4 | 342/4 |
| 91 | 1 | 343/4 |
| 92 | 4 | 347/4 |
| 93 | 2 | 349/4 |
| 94 | 2 | 351/4 |
| 95 | 3 | 354/5 |
| 96 | 3 | 357/5 |
| 97 | 8 | 365/5 |
| 98 | 2 | 367/5 |
| 99 | 5 | 372/5 |
| 100 | 3 | 375/5 |
| 101 | 3 | 378/5 |
| 102 | 4 | 382/5 |
| 103 | 0 | 382/5 |
| 104 | 11 | 393/5 |
| 105 | 2 | 395/5 |
| 106 | 3 | 398/5 |
| 107 | 0 | 398/6 |
| 108 | 7 | 405/6 |
| 109 | 16 | 421/6 |
| 110 | 5 | 426/6 |
| 111 | 8 | 434/6 |
| 112 | 10 | 444/6 |
| 113 | 4 | 448/6 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shakib Al Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zakir Hasan: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shariful Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.