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Malta Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024/25 · Men
3 Feb 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malta started on 29%; Malta batted first.
Malta's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (Austria: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR Patankarcaught · Bilal Zalmai · Umair Tariq 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Bilal Zalmai · b Umair Tariq | 32 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 103.23 |
| R Dianishrun out · Aqib Iqbal, Arsalan Arif · Aqib Iqbal 2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Aqib Iqbal, Arsalan Arif | 20 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 142.86 |
| E Mathewcaught · M Simpson-Parker · Hamid Safi 1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · M Simpson-Parker · b Hamid Safi | 46 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 135.29 |
| VP Thamotharamcaught · Umair Tariq · Hamid Safi 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Umair Tariq · b Hamid Safi | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Aaftab Alam Khancaught · J Ghelzai · Umair Tariq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Ghelzai · b Umair Tariq | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Jaspal Singhcaught · Aqib Iqbal · Hamid Safi 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Aqib Iqbal · b Hamid Safi |
| 4 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Niyas Pullariyilnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 15* | 13 | 0 | 1 | 115.38 |
|---|
| Washeem Abbasrun out · Arsalan Arif, H Khogiyani · H Khogiyani 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Arsalan Arif, H Khogiyani | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| C Sudarsanannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sahel Zadran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| H Khogiyani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Umair Tariq0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hamid Safi0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-26 (R Dianish, 3.0) · 2-91 (DR Patankar, 11.3) · 3-114 (VP Thamotharam, 14.1) · 4-116 (E Mathew, 15.0) · 5-120 (Aaftab Alam Khan, 15.4) · 6-134 (Jaspal Singh, 18.1) · 7-148 (Washeem Abbas, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 47/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 59/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 63/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 74/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 84/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 89/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 95/2 |
| 13 | 14 | 109/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 114/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 116/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 122/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 126/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 134/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 144/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 150/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.