SingaporeversusChina

11 Oct 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Singapore won by 50 runs

Singapore20.0 overs139/10 China20.0 overs89/6 Selangor Turf Club, Kuala Lumpur ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Singapore more likely to win

78%Singapore22%China

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Singapore rate stronger than China (1,456 vs 1,276 on our results rating)
In the last 1 T20 internationals between these sides, Singapore won 1 and China won 0

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Singapore started on 76%; Singapore batted first.

Singapore’s chance of winning (%) · China is the rest

Singapore's chances ranged from 68% to 100% during the match (China: 0% to 32%).

Biggest swings

0.2: Ma Qiancheng to S Gulecha, S Gulecha out. China up from 24% to 32%.
1.2: Tian Sen Qun to DPS Tyagi, DPS Tyagi out. China up from 23% to 30%.
3.1: Tian Sen Qun to RR Naik, six by RR Naik. Singapore up from 70% to 74%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Singapore139/10 China89/6

Innings 1

Singapore

139/1020.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Singapore batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Suryansh Gulechacaught · Shenjian Zheng · Ma Qiancheng 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Shenjian Zheng · b Ma Qiancheng	0	2	0	0	0.00
Surendran Chandramohanbowled · Chen Zhuo Yue 1 fours · 0 sixes	bowled · b Chen Zhuo Yue	16	20	1	0	80.00
Daksh Tyagicaught · Zhao Zhilong · Tian Sen Qun 2 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Zhao Zhilong · b Tian Sen Qun	8	6	2	0	133.33
Riaan Naikcaught · Shenjian Zheng · Zong Yuechao 3 fours · 3 sixes	caught · Shenjian Zheng · b Zong Yuechao	46	29	3	3	158.62
Manpreet Singhcaught · Shenjian Zheng · Chen Zhuo Yue 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Shenjian Zheng · b Chen Zhuo Yue	17	21	0	0	80.95

Bowler	Overs	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Ma Qiancheng0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	24	1	8.00	0
Tian Sen Qun0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	23	3	7.67	5
Yao Junting0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	30	0	7.50	0
Chen Zhuo Yue0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	21	2	5.25	0
Zong Yuechao0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	23	2	5.75	1
Liu Qingze0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	17	0	8.50	3

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	8	8/1
2	4	12/2
3	7	19/2
4	9	28/2
5	9	37/2
6	12	49/2
7	4	53/2
8	10	63/2
9	9	72/3
10	5	77/4
11	3	80/4
12	7	87/4
13	4	91/4
14	8	99/4
15	4	103/4
16	4	107/5
17	8	115/5
18	5	120/6
19	9	129/7
20	10	139/10

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