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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Jul 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 42%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 0% to 43% during the match (Glamorgan: 57% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Colin Ingram · Ned Leonard 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Colin Ingram · b Ned Leonard | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · William Smale · Imad Wasim0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William Smale · b Imad Wasim | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Harry Finchbowled · Ned Leonard1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ned Leonard | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Joe Denlybowled · Andy Gorvin1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Andy Gorvin | 17 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 89.47 |
 Sam Billingsbowled · Andy Gorvin0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Andy Gorvin | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
 Joey Evisoncaught · Alex Horton · Ned Leonard0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Horton · b Ned Leonard | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Jack Leaningnot out1 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 45* | 40 | 1 | 3 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Tom Rogerscaught · Alex Horton · Andy Gorvin 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Alex Horton · b Andy Gorvin | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Fred Klaassencaught and bowled · Andy Gorvin 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Andy Gorvin | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Nathan Gilchristcaught · William Smale · Ned Leonard 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William Smale · b Ned Leonard | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Matt Parkinsonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Imad Wasim0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Jamie McIlroy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ned Leonard0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Andy Gorvin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 2 |
1-7 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 2.2) · 2-9 (Tawanda Muyeye, 3.1) · 3-26 (Harry Finch, 5.4) · 4-37 (Sam Billings, 8.1) · 5-38 (Joe Denly, 8.3) · 6-48 (Joey Evison, 10.0) · 7-68 (Tom Rogers, 12.3) · 8-89 (Fred Klaassen, 16.1) · 9-103 (Nathan Gilchrist, 17.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 12/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 27/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 32/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 37/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 43/5 |
| 10 | 5 | 48/6 |
| 11 | 4 | 52/6 |
| 12 | 15 | 67/6 |
| 13 | 2 | 69/7 |
| 14 | 4 | 73/7 |
| 15 | 9 | 82/7 |
| 16 | 7 | 89/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 93/8 |
| 18 | 10 | 103/9 |
| 19 | 3 | 106/9 |
| 20 | 12 | 118/9 |
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie McIlroy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Imad Wasim: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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