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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
19 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahrain started on 48%; Bahrain batted first.
Bahrain's chances ranged from 42% to 99% during the match (Saudi Arabia: 1% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umer Imtiazbowled · Usman Najeeb 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Usman Najeeb | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 216.67 |
| Asif Alilbw · Usman Najeeb 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Usman Najeeb | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Imran Anwarcaught · Sidharth Sankar · Ishtiaq Ahmad 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Sidharth Sankar · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 53 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 151.43 |
| Fiaz Ahmedcaught · Sidharth Sankar · Ishtiaq Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sidharth Sankar · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Haider Buttnot out 6 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 67* | 51 | 6 | 2 | 131.37 |
| Ahmer Bin Nasir |
| run out · Zain Ul Abidin, Sidharth Sankar |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Sohail Ahmednot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 30* | 16 | 2 | 1 | 187.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 5 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Usman Najeeb0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Usman Khalid0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 1 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdul Waheed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdul Wahid0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 12.25 | 3 | 1 |
1-16 (Umer Imtiaz, 1.3) · 2-17 (Asif Ali, 1.5) · 3-39 (Fiaz Ahmed, 4.2) · 4-134 (Imran Anwar, 15.2) · 5-148 (Ahmer Bin Nasir, 16.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 19/2 |
| 3 | 6 | 25/2 |
| 4 | 12 | 37/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 47/3 |
| 6 | 6 | 53/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 55/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 59/3 |
| 9 | 9 | 68/3 |
| 10 | 12 | 80/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 86/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 91/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 103/3 |
| 14 | 15 | 118/3 |
| 15 | 15 | 133/3 |
| 16 | 12 | 145/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 151/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 162/5 |
| 19 | 14 | 176/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 188/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.