Lucknow Super GiantsversusKolkata Knight Riders

14 Apr 2024 · T20

Eden Gardens, Kolkata · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Kolkata Knight Riders won by 8 wickets

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs161/7 Kolkata Knight Riders15.4 overs162/2 Eden Gardens, Kolkata ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 47%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Kolkata Knight Riders is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Kolkata Knight Riders: 39% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.5: VG Arora to Q de Kock, Q de Kock out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 40% to 52%.
2nd inns 0.6: S Joseph to PD Salt, six by PD Salt. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 68% to 79%.
2nd inns 3.1: Mohsin Khan to A Raghuvanshi, A Raghuvanshi out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 19% to 31%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants161/7 Kolkata Knight Riders162/2

Innings 1