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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jul 2025 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 34%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Lancashire: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jonny Bairstowcaught · Philip Salt · Chris Green8 fours · 10 sixes | caught · Philip Salt · b Chris Green | 116 | 54 | 8 | 10 | 214.81 |
 Dawid Malancaught · Jos Buttler · Luke Wood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jos Buttler · b Luke Wood | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 William Luxtonnot out5 fours · 7 sixes | not out | 90* | 46 | 5 | 7 | 195.65 |
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught · Tom Hartley · Chris Green1 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Tom Hartley · b Chris Green |
| 21 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 150.00 |
 Will Sutherlandcaught and bowled · Chris Green0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Chris Green | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| James Whartoncaught · Tom Hartley · Chris Green 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Hartley · b Chris Green | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jordan Thompsonrun out · James Anderson · Chris Green0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · James Anderson | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
 James Anderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 12.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 19.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Wells0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 4 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-23 (Dawid Malan, 2.3) · 2-190 (Jonny Bairstow, 15.1) · 3-234 (Abdullah Shafique, 19.2) · 4-234 (Will Sutherland, 19.4) · 5-235 (James Wharton, 19.5) · 6-236 (Jordan Thompson, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 33/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 46/1 |
| 5 | 16 | 62/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 72/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 80/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 86/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 91/1 |
| 10 | 24 | 115/1 |
| 11 | 11 | 126/1 |
| 12 | 15 | 141/1 |
| 13 | 13 | 154/1 |
| 14 | 19 | 173/1 |
| 15 | 16 | 189/1 |
| 16 | 10 | 199/2 |
| 17 | 11 | 210/2 |
| 18 | 11 | 221/2 |
| 19 | 12 | 233/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 236/6 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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