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Asia Pacific Cricket Champions Trophy · 2025 · Men
19 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Singapore started on 27%; Singapore batted first.
Singapore's chances ranged from 0% to 30% during the match (Malaysia: 70% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aman Desaicaught · Ainool Hafizs · Syed Aziz 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ainool Hafizs · b Syed Aziz | 12 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 92.31 |
| Arnav Manojcaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Vijay Unni | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| M Bhatiacaught · Ahmed Aqeel · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmed Aqeel · b Vijay Unni | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| K Sathishcaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Vijay Unni | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Manpreet Singhcaught · Syed Aziz · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Syed Aziz · b Vijay Unni | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| lbw · b Virandeep Singh |
| 20 |
| 22 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 90.91 |
| C Shivakumarcaught and bowled · Virandeep Singh 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Virandeep Singh | 17 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 77.27 |
|---|
| Harsh Venkataramnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 27* | 25 | 1 | 1 | 108.00 |
|---|
| Kabir Berliacaught · Arif Ullah · Khizar Hayat 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arif Ullah · b Khizar Hayat | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Akshay Purirun out · Khizar Hayat · Arif Ullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Khizar Hayat | 13 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 61.90 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 |
| Vijay Unni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Virandeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Arif Ullah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Khizar Hayat1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Arnav Manoj, 1.2) · 2-16 (Aman Desai, 3.0) · 3-16 (M Bhatia, 3.1) · 4-16 (Manpreet Singh, 3.2) · 5-29 (K Sathish, 5.5) · 6-56 (C Shivakumar, 11.2) · 7-58 (SH Venugopal, 11.4) · 8-59 (Kabir Berlia, 12.4) · 9-105 (Akshay Puri, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 16/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 17/4 |
| 5 | 10 | 27/4 |
| 6 | 2 | 29/5 |
| 7 | 5 | 34/5 |
| 8 | 1 | 35/5 |
| 9 | 7 | 42/5 |
| 10 | 11 | 53/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 56/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 59/7 |
| 13 | 0 | 59/8 |
| 14 | 7 | 66/8 |
| 15 | 1 | 67/8 |
| 16 | 6 | 73/8 |
| 17 | 4 | 77/8 |
| 18 | 8 | 85/8 |
| 19 | 12 | 97/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 105/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.