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Super Smash · 2025/26 · Men
30 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Otago started on 37%; Otago batted first.
Otago's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Central Districts: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llew Johnsoncaught · Jayden Lennox · TA Findlay 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jayden Lennox · b TA Findlay | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 144.44 |
| Jamal Toddcaught · AR Schaw · Brett Randell 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · AR Schaw · b Brett Randell | 32 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 200.00 |
 Max Chucaught and bowled · TA Findlay3 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b TA Findlay | 26 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 152.94 |
| Glenn Phillipsnot out 7 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 90* | 48 | 7 | 4 | 187.50 |
| Jack Boylecaught · Brett Randell · AR Schaw 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brett Randell · b AR Schaw | 7 | 6 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 116.67 |
 Luke Georgesoncaught · Will Clark · Ajaz Patel1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Clark · b Ajaz Patel | 13 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 81.25 |
|---|
| Jake Gibsonbowled · Ajaz Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ajaz Patel | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Ben Lockroserun out · Will Young, Jayden Lennox · Jayden Lennox 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Will Young, Jayden Lennox | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Randell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
| AR Schaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| TA Findlay0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 14.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Jayden Lennox0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Dean Foxcroft0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Ajaz Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Llew Johnson, 3.0) · 2-47 (Jamal Todd, 4.1) · 3-80 (Max Chu, 8.2) · 4-94 (Jack Boyle, 10.1) · 5-129 (Luke Georgeson, 15.1) · 6-157 (Jake Gibson, 17.2) · 7-193 (Ben Lockrose, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 34/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 47/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 53/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 64/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 72/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 78/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 86/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 94/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 97/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 107/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 114/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 118/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 129/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 135/5 |
| 17 | 21 | 156/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 164/6 |
| 19 | 17 | 181/6 |
| 20 | 12 | 193/7 |
Max Chu: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Georgeson: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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