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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
2 Nov 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 31%; Oman batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhbowled · Aryan Dutt 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aryan Dutt | 30 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Jeet Shahbowled · Colin Ackermann 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Colin Ackermann | 8 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 30.77 |
| Hammad Mirzacaught · Noah Croes · Shariz Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Noah Croes · b Shariz Ahmad | 17 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 44.74 |
| AR Bishtcaught · Zach Lion-Cachet · Colin Ackermann 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zach Lion-Cachet · b Colin Ackermann | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 26.67 |
| Mujibur Alistumped · Scott Edwards · Shariz Ahmad 3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Scott Edwards · b Shariz Ahmad | 44 | 78 | 3 | 0 | 56.41 |
Oman's chances ranged from 0% to 45% during the match (Netherlands: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · T van der Gugten · b Fred Klaassen |
| 38 |
| 50 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 76.00 |
| K Sonavalecaught · Fred Klaassen · Colin Ackermann 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fred Klaassen · b Colin Ackermann | 14 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Nadeem Khan (2)bowled · Colin Ackermann 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Colin Ackermann | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Samay Shrivastavanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 16 | 0 | 0 | 56.25 |
|---|
| Hassnain Shahcaught · Shariz Ahmad · Kyle Klein 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shariz Ahmad · b Kyle Klein | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 64.29 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmedcaught · Fred Klaassen · Kyle Klein 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fred Klaassen · b Kyle Klein | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Klaassen1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 40 | 1 | 4.44 | 4 | 0 |
| Kyle Klein1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.2 | 1 | 38 | 2 | 5.18 | 1 | 0 |
| Aryan Dutt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 2.20 | 0 | 0 |
 Colin Ackermann1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 23 | 4 | 2.30 | 1 | 0 |
| Shariz Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 4.89 | 0 | 0 |
 Zach Lion-Cachet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-40 (Jeet Shah, 9.4) · 2-42 (Jatinder Singh, 10.5) · 3-51 (AR Bisht, 15.3) · 4-80 (Hammad Mirza, 23.0) · 5-138 (Vinayak Shukla, 38.1) · 6-158 (Mujibur Ali, 42.2) · 7-161 (Nadeem Khan (2), 43.2) · 8-170 (K Sonavale, 45.4) · 9-182 (Hassnain Shah, 49.1) · 10-182 (Shakeel Ahmed, 49.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 28/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 29/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 36/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 37/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 40/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 42/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 43/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 45/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 49/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 50/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 53/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 58/3 |
| 18 | 3 | 61/3 |
| 19 | 5 | 66/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 68/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 71/3 |
| 22 | 1 | 72/3 |
| 23 | 8 | 80/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 81/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 85/4 |
| 26 | 5 | 90/4 |
| 27 | 6 | 96/4 |
| 28 | 2 | 98/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 102/4 |
| 30 | 2 | 104/4 |
| 31 | 1 | 105/4 |
| 32 | 3 | 108/4 |
| 33 | 2 | 110/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 112/4 |
| 35 | 9 | 121/4 |
| 36 | 6 | 127/4 |
| 37 | 8 | 135/4 |
| 38 | 3 | 138/4 |
| 39 | 5 | 143/5 |
| 40 | 5 | 148/5 |
| 41 | 7 | 155/5 |
| 42 | 3 | 158/5 |
| 43 | 3 | 161/6 |
| 44 | 0 | 161/7 |
| 45 | 6 | 167/7 |
| 46 | 4 | 171/8 |
| 47 | 3 | 174/8 |
| 48 | 1 | 175/8 |
| 49 | 7 | 182/8 |
| 50 | 0 | 182/10 |
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
