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United States of America Women tour of Netherlands · 2025 · Women
11 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 78%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 71% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 29%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Siegersstumped · Pooja Ganesh · Ritu Singh 6 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Pooja Ganesh · b Ritu Singh | 54 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 125.58 |
| Sterre Kaliscaught · AI Chudasama · Maahi Madhavan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AI Chudasama · b Maahi Madhavan | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Babette de Leedestumped · Pooja Ganesh · Ritu Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Pooja Ganesh · b Ritu Singh | 9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 69.23 |
| P Molkenboercaught · AI Chudasama · Ritu Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AI Chudasama · b Ritu Singh | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Robine Rijkenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 19 | 0 | 0 | 84.21 |
| not out |
| 33* |
| 25 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 132.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L Shetty0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| AI Chudasama0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Suhani Thadani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Maahi Madhavan0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Geetika Kodali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Immadi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ritu Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Sterre Kalis, 4.2) · 2-61 (Babette de Leede, 9.1) · 3-71 (P Molkenboer, 11.4) · 4-82 (Heather Siegers, 13.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 28/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 37/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 42/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 50/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 61/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 64/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 70/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 73/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 78/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 82/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 89/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 99/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 102/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 108/4 |
| 19 | 14 | 122/4 |
| 20 | 6 | 128/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.