Abu Dhabi Knight RidersversusMI Emirates

2 Jan 2026 · T20

Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

MI Emirates won by 7 wickets

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders20.0 overs120/8 MI Emirates16.1 overs122/3 Sharjah Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders started on 38%; Abu Dhabi Knight Riders batted first.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · MI Emirates is the rest

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 38% during the match (MI Emirates: 62% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.1: AM Ghazanfar to MS Pepper, MS Pepper out. MI Emirates up from 64% to 74%.
3.1: Muhammad Rohid to BJ McMullen, BJ McMullen out. MI Emirates up from 68% to 78%.
6.4: Muhammad Rohid to LS Livingstone, LS Livingstone out. MI Emirates up from 77% to 83%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders120/8 MI Emirates122/3

Innings 1