Quetta GladiatorsversusLahore Qalandars

25 May 2025 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Lahore Qalandars won by 6 wickets

Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs201/9 Lahore Qalandars19.5 overs204/4 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 50%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Lahore Qalandars is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 10% to 90% during the match (Lahore Qalandars: 10% to 90%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 17.4: Khurram Shahzad to MDKJ Perera, six by MDKJ Perera. Lahore Qalandars up from 23% to 39%.
2nd inns 18.6: Mohammad Amir to MDKJ Perera, six by MDKJ Perera. Lahore Qalandars up from 27% to 50%.
2nd inns 19.4: Faheem Ashraf to Sikandar Raza, six by Sikandar Raza. Lahore Qalandars up from 46% to 90%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators201/9 Lahore Qalandars204/4

Innings 1