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Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
17 Jul 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographDurham started on 39%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 42% during the match (The Blaze: 58% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mady Villierscaught · Lucy Higham · Kirstie Gordon 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lucy Higham · b Kirstie Gordon | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 123.08 |
 Hollie Armitagecaught · Tammy Beaumont · Grace Ballinger0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tammy Beaumont · b Grace Ballinger | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Heather Grahambowled · Kathryn Bryce5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kathryn Bryce | 30 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 130.43 |
| Bess Heathbowled · Kirstie Gordon 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kirstie Gordon | 11 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 45.83 |
| Mia Rogers |
| bowled · b Kirstie Gordon |
| 13 |
| 16 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 81.25 |
| Grace Thompsonstumped · Sarah Bryce · Charli Knott 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Sarah Bryce · b Charli Knott | 20 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 95.24 |
|---|
| Emily Windsorcaught · Georgia Elwiss · Charli Knott 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Georgia Elwiss · b Charli Knott | 20 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Sophia Turnernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Trudy Johnsonrun out · Sarah Bryce, Charli Knott · Charli Knott 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sarah Bryce, Charli Knott | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Ballinger0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Charley Phillips0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Charli Knott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Kirstie Gordon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Josie Groves0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Hollie Armitage, 0.4) · 2-30 (Mady Villiers, 4.1) · 3-53 (Heather Graham, 9.0) · 4-63 (Bess Heath, 11.5) · 5-73 (Mia Rogers, 14.1) · 6-113 (Grace Thompson, 19.1) · 7-114 (Emily Windsor, 19.3) · 8-117 (Trudy Johnson, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 43/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 53/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 55/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 60/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 63/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 68/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 73/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 80/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 86/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 99/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 106/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 113/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 117/8 |
Lauren Filer: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tammy Beaumont: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Elwiss: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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