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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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International League T20 · 2024/25 · Men
2 Feb 2025 · T20
Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Dubai Capitals started on 54%; Dubai Capitals batted first.
Dubai Capitals's chances ranged from 55% to 100% during the match (Abu Dhabi Knight Riders: 0% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shai Hopebowled · Roston Chase3 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Roston Chase | 36 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 150.00 |
 David Warnernot out12 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 93* | 57 | 12 | 1 | 163.16 |
 Gulbudeen Naibcaught · Ali Khan · Sunil Narine3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ali Khan · b Sunil Narine | 47 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 188.00 |
| Rovman Powellbowled · Ibrar Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ibrar Ahmad | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Dasun Shanakacaught · Gudakesh Motie · Jason Holder 4 fours · 2 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Gudakesh Motie · b Jason Holder |
| 34 |
| 12 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 283.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Jason Holder0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 61 | 1 | 15.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Sunil Narine0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Gudakesh Motie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ali Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Ibrar Ahmad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-82 (Shai Hope, 8.5) · 2-162 (Gulbudeen Naib, 16.2) · 3-180 (Rovman Powell, 17.4) · 4-217 (Dasun Shanaka, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 15 | 34/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 36/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 43/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 50/0 |
| 8 | 18 | 68/0 |
| 9 | 14 | 82/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 85/1 |
| 11 | 11 | 96/1 |
| 12 | 15 | 111/1 |
| 13 | 11 | 122/1 |
| 14 | 15 | 137/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 144/1 |
| 16 | 17 | 161/1 |
| 17 | 9 | 170/2 |
| 18 | 17 | 187/3 |
| 19 | 12 | 199/3 |
| 20 | 18 | 217/4 |
Sunil Narine: Kolkata Knight Riders - Official · CC BY 3.0
Ali Khan: U.S. Embassy Port of Spain · Public domain
Gulbudeen Naib: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kyle Mayers: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andre Russell: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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