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Photo: PaddyBriggs
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Australia Women tour of New Zealand · 2024/25 · Women
21 Dec 2024 · ODI
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amelia Kerr · b Molly Penfold | 34 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 106.25 |
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Gaze · b Rosemary Mair | 25 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 64.10 |
4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Gaze · b Molly Penfold | 29 | 42 | 4 | 0 | 69.05 |
| caught · Bella James · b Molly Penfold |
| 14 |
| 24 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 58.33 |
11 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 105* | 81 | 11 | 2 | 129.63 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eden Carson | 19 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 73.08 |
|---|
6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Molly Penfold | 34 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 113.33 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Eden Carson | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 10 | 1 | 0 | 110.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosemary Mair0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 5.60 | 2 | 0 |
| Molly Penfold1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 42 | 4 | 4.20 | 5 | 0 |
| 9.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 5.11 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10.0 | 0 | 59 | 0 | 5.90 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eden Carson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 65 | 2 | 7.22 | 1 | 0 |
| Brooke Halliday0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-43 (Alyssa Healy, 8.2) · 2-74 (Phoebe Litchfield, 15.2) · 3-107 (Ellyse Perry, 21.5) · 4-110 (Beth Mooney, 23.1) · 5-160 (Ashleigh Gardner, 32.4) · 6-211 (Tahlia McGrath, 40.5) · 7-236 (Alana King, 45.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 29/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 31/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 40/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 43/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 43/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 45/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 47/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 52/1 |
| 13 | 10 | 62/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 69/1 |
| 15 | 4 | 73/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 76/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 82/2 |
| 18 | 1 | 83/2 |
| 19 | 8 | 91/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 94/2 |
| 21 | 7 | 101/2 |
| 22 | 6 | 107/3 |
| 23 | 3 | 110/3 |
| 24 | 3 | 113/4 |
| 25 | 1 | 114/4 |
| 26 | 6 | 120/4 |
| 27 | 8 | 128/4 |
| 28 | 6 | 134/4 |
| 29 | 5 | 139/4 |
| 30 | 4 | 143/4 |
| 31 | 10 | 153/4 |
| 32 | 5 | 158/4 |
| 33 | 3 | 161/5 |
| 34 | 6 | 167/5 |
| 35 | 12 | 179/5 |
| 36 | 2 | 181/5 |
| 37 | 9 | 190/5 |
| 38 | 3 | 193/5 |
| 39 | 2 | 195/5 |
| 40 | 11 | 206/5 |
| 41 | 6 | 212/6 |
| 42 | 5 | 217/6 |
| 43 | 5 | 222/6 |
| 44 | 9 | 231/6 |
| 45 | 5 | 236/6 |
| 46 | 3 | 239/7 |
| 47 | 9 | 248/7 |
| 48 | 19 | 267/7 |
| 49 | 12 | 279/7 |
| 50 | 12 | 291/7 |
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Megan Schutt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Devine: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alyssa Healy: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Darcie Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Phoebe Litchfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.