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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
16 Feb 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 39%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 43% during the match (Oman: 58% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Greenlbw · Jay Odedra 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jay Odedra | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54.55 |
| Jean-Pierre Kotzelbw · Jay Odedra 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jay Odedra | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Jan Frylinckbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
| Gerhard Erasmusbowled · Aamir Kaleem 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aamir Kaleem | 15 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 34.88 |
| JC Baltbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · Samay Shrivastava · Aamir Kaleem3 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Samay Shrivastava · b Aamir Kaleem |
| 30 |
| 54 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 55.56 |
 Malan Krugercaught · Samay Shrivastava · Bukkapatnam Siddharth1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Samay Shrivastava · b Bukkapatnam Siddharth | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| JJ Smitbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmannstumped · Vinayak Shukla · Samay Shrivastava 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Vinayak Shukla · b Samay Shrivastava | 14 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
| Jan-Izak de Villiersbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Bernard Scholtznot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 16 | 1 | 0 | 43.75 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Odedra1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 24 | 2 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 25 | 4 | 2.78 | 1 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 1.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Bukkapatnam Siddharth1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 3.71 | 5 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3.43 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Jean-Pierre Kotze, 2.2) · 2-14 (Zane Green, 4.2) · 3-19 (Jan Frylinck, 5.3) · 4-19 (JC Balt, 8.0) · 5-54 (Gerhard Erasmus, 19.3) · 6-70 (Malan Kruger, 23.0) · 7-74 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 25.2) · 8-74 (JJ Smit, 26.2) · 9-80 (Jan-Izak de Villiers, 28.1) · 10-96 (Ruben Trumpelmann, 33.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 16/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 19/3 |
| 7 | 0 | 19/3 |
| 8 | 0 | 19/4 |
| 9 | 8 | 27/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 30/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 38/4 |
| 12 | 0 | 38/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 43/4 |
| 14 | 0 | 43/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 47/4 |
| 16 | 1 | 48/4 |
| 17 | 0 | 48/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 53/4 |
| 19 | 1 | 54/4 |
| 20 | 0 | 54/5 |
| 21 | 10 | 64/5 |
| 22 | 3 | 67/5 |
| 23 | 3 | 70/6 |
| 24 | 1 | 71/6 |
| 25 | 3 | 74/6 |
| 26 | 0 | 74/7 |
| 27 | 0 | 74/8 |
| 28 | 6 | 80/8 |
| 29 | 4 | 84/9 |
| 30 | 1 | 85/9 |
| 31 | 6 | 91/9 |
| 32 | 4 | 95/9 |
| 33 | 1 | 96/9 |
| 34 | 0 | 96/10 |
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
