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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
8 Jun 2024 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 34%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 21% to 100% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 0% to 79%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graham Clarkcaught · Jacob Lintott · George Garton0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Lintott · b George Garton | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Alex Leeslbw · Dan Mousley0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Dan Mousley | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 72.73 |
| David Bedinghamcaught · Rob Yates · Jacob Lintott 9 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Rob Yates · b Jacob Lintott | 63 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 233.33 |
 Ollie Robinsoncaught · Jacob Bethell · Jacob Lintott2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jacob Bethell · b Jacob Lintott | 25 |
| 18 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 138.89 |
 Ashton Turnercaught · Danny Briggs · George Garton3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Danny Briggs · b George Garton | 33 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 137.50 |
|---|
 Ben Rainebowled · Dan Mousley1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Dan Mousley | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 162.50 |
|---|
| HS Mustardbowled · Hasan Ali 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Ali | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
|---|
 Paul Coughlincaught · Sam Hain · George Garton0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b George Garton | 16 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
 Matthew Pottsrun out · Dan Mousley · George Garton1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Dan Mousley | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Callum Parkinsonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Hasan Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 1 | 2 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Aamer Jamal0 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 25.00 | 0 | 4 |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 10.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacob Bethell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Graham Clark, 0.2) · 2-68 (Alex Lees, 5.5) · 3-77 (David Bedingham, 6.4) · 4-122 (Ollie Robinson, 12.1) · 5-149 (Ben Raine, 14.2) · 6-155 (Ashton Turner, 15.4) · 7-165 (HS Mustard, 17.0) · 8-182 (Paul Coughlin, 19.2) · 9-194 (Matthew Potts, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 19 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 40/1 |
| 5 | 25 | 65/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 68/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 78/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 80/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 88/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 98/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 109/3 |
| 12 | 13 | 122/3 |
| 13 | 14 | 136/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 148/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 152/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 156/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 165/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 172/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 180/7 |
| 20 | 14 | 194/9 |
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Paul Coughlin: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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