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Gibraltar tour of Malta · 2026 · Men
9 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Malta more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Gibraltar started on 17%; Gibraltar batted first.
Gibraltar's chances ranged from 0% to 21% during the match (Malta: 79% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PA Raikescaught · P Pushparajan · Muhammad Ajmal 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · P Pushparajan · b Muhammad Ajmal | 38 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 126.67 |
| L Brucecaught · Adil Latheef · Ajin Soman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adil Latheef · b Ajin Soman | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Joe Wilsoncaught · P Pushparajan · Ajin Soman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Pushparajan · b Ajin Soman | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| KJ Ferraryrun out · R Dianish, Jaswinder Singh · Mohammed Qasim 2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · R Dianish, Jaswinder Singh | 32 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 133.33 |
| IDM Latinrun out · R Dianish, Mohammed Qasim · P Pushparajan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · R Dianish, Mohammed Qasim | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 23.08 |
| BA Paicaught · R Dianish · Mohammed Qasim 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · R Dianish · b Mohammed Qasim |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| C Pylebowled · Ajin Soman 2 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Ajin Soman | 39 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 162.50 |
|---|
| K Mirpurinot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 15 | 1 | 0 | 93.33 |
|---|
| A Reyesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajin Soman0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Adil Latheef0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 6 | 0 |
| Mohammed Qasim0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Ajmal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| P Pushparajan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaswinder Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (L Bruce, 0.5) · 2-14 (Joe Wilson, 2.1) · 3-76 (PA Raikes, 9.4) · 4-81 (KJ Ferrary, 10.4) · 5-81 (BA Pai, 10.5) · 6-87 (IDM Latin, 13.3) · 7-132 (C Pyle, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 11 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 35/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 43/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 11 | 61/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 70/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 76/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 81/5 |
| 12 | 1 | 82/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 86/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 94/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 100/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 106/6 |
| 17 | 16 | 122/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 131/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 139/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 143/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.