Islamabad UnitedversusMultan Sultans

16 Apr 2025 · T20

Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Islamabad United won by 47 runs

Islamabad United20.0 overs202/6 Multan Sultans18.4 overs155/10 Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Islamabad United started on 50%; Islamabad United batted first.

Islamabad United’s chance of winning (%) · Multan Sultans is the rest

Islamabad United's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Multan Sultans: 0% to 55%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 5.5: Imad Wasim to Usman Khan, Usman Khan out. Islamabad United up from 49% to 63%.
2nd inns 10.4: Shadab Khan to Mohammad Rizwan, Mohammad Rizwan out. Islamabad United up from 69% to 82%.
2nd inns 12.6: RP Meredith to MG Bracewell, MG Bracewell out. Islamabad United up from 70% to 85%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Islamabad United202/6 Multan Sultans155/10

Innings 1