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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
10 Jan 2025 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 47%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 30% to 100% during the match (Auckland: 0% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowesbowled · J McKenzie 6 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b J McKenzie | 59 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 190.32 |
 Rhys Mariulbw · William O'Donnell1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b William O'Donnell | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Sean Solia · Danru Ferns 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Solia · b Danru Ferns | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Cole McConchielbw · Adithya Ashok 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Adithya Ashok | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 111.76 |
| Harry Chamberlaincaught · Cam Fletcher · Lachlan Stackpole 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cam Fletcher · b Lachlan Stackpole | 10 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 111.11 |
| Michael Ripponnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 44* | 30 | 3 | 0 | 146.67 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkescaught · William O'Donnell · Danru Ferns 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William O'Donnell · b Danru Ferns | 19 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 126.67 |
|---|
| Henry Shipleycaught · Sean Solia · Danru Ferns 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Solia · b Danru Ferns | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kyle Jamiesonbowled · J McKenzie0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b J McKenzie | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Ish Sodhicaught · William O'Donnell · J McKenzie0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William O'Donnell · b J McKenzie | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Stackpole0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| William O'Donnell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Danru Ferns0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Sean Solia0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 5 | 0 |
| J McKenzie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Adithya Ashok0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Rhys Mariu, 1.5) · 2-13 (Matt Boyle, 2.1) · 3-71 (Cole McConchie, 8.0) · 4-101 (Chad Bowes, 10.2) · 5-114 (Harry Chamberlain, 12.2) · 6-144 (Zakary Foulkes, 16.2) · 7-144 (Henry Shipley, 16.4) · 8-167 (Kyle Jamieson, 19.1) · 9-173 (Ish Sodhi, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 11 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 18 | 46/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 55/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 63/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 71/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 79/3 |
| 10 | 18 | 97/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 106/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 113/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 118/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 126/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 133/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 143/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 146/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 155/7 |
| 19 | 12 | 167/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 173/9 |
Martin Guptill: Government House, Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet · CC0
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Rhys Mariu: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adithya Ashok: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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