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Kwibuka Women's Twenty20 Tournament · 2024 · Women
30 May 2024 · T20
Gahanga International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Rwanda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Rwanda started on 73%; Rwanda batted first.
Rwanda's chances ranged from 67% to 100% during the match (Cameroon: 0% to 33%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Bimenyimanarun out · O Ranedoumoun · O Ranedoumoun 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · O Ranedoumoun | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| M Uwasenot out 8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 62* | 51 | 8 | 0 | 121.57 |
| Gisele Ishimwelbw · MSN Ekani 4 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b MSN Ekani | 47 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 117.50 |
| C Uwaserun out · MLN Sissako, B Waluma · MLN Sissako 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · MLN Sissako, B Waluma | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Henriette Ishimwecaught · TMA Leslie · E Guehoada 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · TMA Leslie · b E Guehoada | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 107.14 |
| A Ikuzwe |
| not out |
| 3* |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O Ranedoumoun0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 4 | 0 |
| E Guehoada0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| TMA Leslie0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| ME Bessala0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
| MSN Ekani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| MLN Sissako0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-2 (Marie Bimenyimana, 0.2) · 2-80 (Gisele Ishimwe, 11.5) · 3-91 (C Uwase, 14.4) · 4-131 (Henriette Ishimwe, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 51/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 58/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 67/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 70/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 76/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 82/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 85/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 89/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 95/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 103/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 108/3 |
| 18 | 13 | 121/3 |
| 19 | 10 | 131/3 |
| 20 | 10 | 141/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.