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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
21 Jun 2024 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Kent started on 45%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Essex: 44% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Ben Allison · Matthew Critchley3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Allison · b Matthew Critchley | 20 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · Ben Allison2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael-Kyle Pepper · b Ben Allison | 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Tawanda Muyeyebowled · Simon Harmer 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Simon Harmer | 18 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Luc Benkenstein · Matthew Critchley4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Luc Benkenstein · b Matthew Critchley |
| 38 |
| 20 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 190.00 |
 Joey Evisoncaught · Ben Allison · Paul Walter0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Allison · b Paul Walter | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
 Marcus O'Riordanbowled · Simon Harmer2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Simon Harmer | 20 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Harry Finchnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 24* | 22 | 1 | 0 | 109.09 |
|---|
| Beyers Swanepoelbowled · Ben Allison 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Allison | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aaron Beard0 maidens · 6 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 6 | 2 |
 Simon Harmer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Allison0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Critchley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Luc Benkenstein0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-20 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 3.3) · 2-50 (Zak Crawley, 6.5) · 3-60 (Tawanda Muyeye, 7.5) · 4-102 (Joey Evison, 12.0) · 5-104 (Sam Billings, 12.3) · 6-131 (Marcus O'Riordan, 15.5) · 7-137 (Beyers Swanepoel, 17.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 46/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 51/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 60/3 |
| 9 | 15 | 75/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 86/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 102/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 106/5 |
| 14 | 11 | 117/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 121/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 131/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 137/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 142/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 148/7 |
| 20 | 8 | 156/7 |
Aaron Beard: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marcus O'Riordan: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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