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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
16 Jan 2026 · T20
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 38%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 33% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gilkescaught · Moisés Henriques · Mitchell Starc 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Moisés Henriques · b Mitchell Starc | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
 David Warnernot out11 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 110* | 65 | 11 | 4 | 169.23 |
 Sam Konstascaught · Josh Philippe · Jack Edwards0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Jack Edwards | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Steve Smith · Ben Manenti1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Ben Manenti | 14 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 107.69 |
 Nic Maddinsoncaught · Steve Smith · Sam Curran2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Steve Smith · b Sam Curran | 26 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 162.50 |
|---|
 Chris Greencaught and bowled · Sam Curran0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sam Curran | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Daniel Samscaught · Mohammad Babar Azam · Sam Curran1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Sam Curran | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sean Abbott0 maidens · 3 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 12.75 | 3 | 2 |
 Mitchell Starc0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Jack Edwards0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Manenti0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Joel Davies0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-56 (Matthew Gilkes, 5.3) · 2-72 (Sam Konstas, 8.2) · 3-95 (Sam Billings, 11.4) · 4-179 (Nic Maddinson, 19.1) · 5-179 (Chris Green, 19.2) · 6-189 (Daniel Sams, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 18 | 49/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 54/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 59/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 68/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 72/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 76/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 83/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 93/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 97/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 101/3 |
| 14 | 15 | 116/3 |
| 15 | 23 | 139/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 147/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 151/3 |
| 18 | 15 | 166/3 |
| 19 | 13 | 179/3 |
| 20 | 10 | 189/6 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Nic Maddinson: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Aidan O'Connor: QWisps · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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