Barbados TridentsversusSt Kitts and Nevis Patriots

1 Sept 2026 · T20

Warner Park, St Kitts · Venue photograph

Recorded result

St Kitts and Nevis Patriots won by 6 wickets

Barbados Tridents20.0 overs217/4 St Kitts and Nevis Patriots19.1 overs220/4 Warner Park, St Kitts ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Barbados Tridents started on 49%; Barbados Tridents batted first.

Barbados Tridents’s chance of winning (%) · St Kitts and Nevis Patriots is the rest

Barbados Tridents's chances ranged from 2% to 83% during the match (St Kitts and Nevis Patriots: 17% to 98%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.6: DR Sams to JO Holder, six by JO Holder. St Kitts and Nevis Patriots up from 43% to 61%.
2nd inns 17.1: DR Sams to JO Holder, JO Holder out. Barbados Tridents up from 41% to 59%.
2nd inns 17.6: DR Sams to PWH de Silva, four by PWH de Silva. St Kitts and Nevis Patriots up from 28% to 80%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Barbados Tridents217/4 St Kitts and Nevis Patriots220/4

Innings 1