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ECA Men's European Cup · 2026 · Men
27 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Romania more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Israel started on 19%; Israel batted first.
Israel's chances ranged from 0% to 20% during the match (Romania: 80% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Lazarusbowled · P Hingorani 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b P Hingorani | 24 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 82.76 |
| G Schachatcaught · Rohit Kumar · Ijaz Hussain 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Kumar · b Ijaz Hussain | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Niv Nagavkarbowled · Taimoor Nasir 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taimoor Nasir | 14 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
| JS Bangeralbw · Taimoor Nasir 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Taimoor Nasir | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Elan Talkernot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 22* | 26 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
| JE Marksstumped · Rohit Kumar · P Hingorani2 fours · 1 sixes |
| stumped · Rohit Kumar · b P Hingorani |
| 21 |
| 16 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 131.25 |
| GJ Hilkowitzbowled · Umair Safi 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Umair Safi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 228.57 |
|---|
| Idan Varsulkarrun out · Umair Safi, Taimoor Nasir · Taimoor Nasir 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Umair Safi, Taimoor Nasir | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| R Bangeranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Sanjeewa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ijaz Hussain0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Taimoor Nasir0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Umair Safi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
| P Hingorani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Avishka Iroshan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (G Schachat, 3.3) · 2-37 (Niv Nagavkar, 9.1) · 3-37 (JS Bangera, 9.2) · 4-51 (BJ Lazarus, 12.1) · 5-83 (JE Marks, 16.4) · 6-103 (GJ Hilkowitz, 18.3) · 7-105 (Idan Varsulkar, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 19/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 27/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 31/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 32/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 37/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 41/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 47/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 50/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 62/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 70/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 76/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 80/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 85/5 |
| 18 | 13 | 98/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 103/6 |
| 20 | 3 | 106/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.