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Photo: Wss ltd
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
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New Zealand tour of Sri Lanka · 2024/25 · Men
13 Nov 2024 · ODI
Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankacaught · Nathan Smith · Jacob Duffy 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Jacob Duffy | 12 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Avishka Fernandocaught · Will Young · Ish Sodhi 9 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Ish Sodhi | 100 | 115 | 9 | 2 | 86.96 |
| Kusal Mendiscaught · Henry Nicholls · Jacob Duffy 17 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Henry Nicholls · b Jacob Duffy | 143 | 128 | 17 | 2 | 111.72 |
| Sadeera Samarawickramacaught · Ish Sodhi · Michael Bracewell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ish Sodhi · b Michael Bracewell | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Charith Asalankacaught · Will Young · Jacob Duffy 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Jacob Duffy | 40 | 28 | 3 |
| 2 |
| 142.86 |
 Janith Liyanagenot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 13 | 2 | 0 | 92.31 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 4 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacob Duffy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.2 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 4.92 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith1 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 66 | 0 | 8.25 | 1 | 2 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 5.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 73 | 1 | 8.11 | 1 | 0 |
 Ish Sodhi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 62 | 1 | 6.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-17 (Pathum Nissanka, 2.4) · 2-223 (Avishka Fernando, 38.2) · 3-238 (Sadeera Samarawickrama, 39.5) · 4-291 (Kusal Mendis, 45.2) · 5-324 (Charith Asalanka, 49.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 24/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 45/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 51/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 55/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 57/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 61/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 66/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 70/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 72/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 77/1 |
| 16 | 7 | 84/1 |
| 17 | 6 | 90/1 |
| 18 | 8 | 98/1 |
| 19 | 8 | 106/1 |
| 20 | 4 | 110/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 114/1 |
| 22 | 3 | 117/1 |
| 23 | 7 | 124/1 |
| 24 | 5 | 129/1 |
| 25 | 11 | 140/1 |
| 26 | 11 | 151/1 |
| 27 | 6 | 157/1 |
| 28 | 12 | 169/1 |
| 29 | 6 | 175/1 |
| 30 | 4 | 179/1 |
| 31 | 2 | 181/1 |
| 32 | 12 | 193/1 |
| 33 | 2 | 195/1 |
| 34 | 4 | 199/1 |
| 35 | 9 | 208/1 |
| 36 | 4 | 212/1 |
| 37 | 7 | 219/1 |
| 38 | 3 | 222/1 |
| 39 | 5 | 227/2 |
| 40 | 11 | 238/3 |
| 41 | 6 | 244/3 |
| 42 | 11 | 255/3 |
| 43 | 4 | 259/3 |
| 44 | 18 | 277/3 |
| 45 | 13 | 290/3 |
| 46 | 3 | 293/4 |
| 47 | 12 | 305/4 |
| 48 | 3 | 308/4 |
| 49 | 15 | 323/4 |
| 50 | 1 | 324/5 |
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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